How the model works
What this rent vs buy calculator includes
The model follows two households from the same starting point. The buyer uses the down payment and buying costs to purchase the home. The renter keeps an equivalent amount available for an investment account, less the refundable security deposit. Each month, whichever option has the lower housing cash outflow is credited with the difference as an investment contribution.
For the buyer, the projection includes principal and interest, property tax, homeowners insurance, maintenance, HOA dues, PMI when the modeled equity threshold has not been reached, and estimated selling costs at the end. For the renter, it includes rent, the annual rent increase, renter's insurance, and the opportunity cost of the cash that was not used to buy.
The result is a comparison of projected net worth. Buyer net worth includes the home value, less the remaining mortgage and estimated selling costs, plus any modeled investment balance. Renter net worth includes the investment account and the refundable deposit. Because a home is not a guaranteed investment, the answer should be read as a range, not as a recommendation.
Why opportunity cost matters
A down payment is not free simply because it becomes home equity. If you rent, that same cash could remain invested. The calculator therefore grows unused starting cash and monthly cash-flow differences at the after-tax investment return you enter. This is the part many simple rent-versus-mortgage comparisons leave out.
Use a time horizon you can defend
Short stays tend to make buying harder to justify because the upfront buying and selling costs have fewer years to spread out. A seven-year horizon may produce a different answer from a two-year horizon even with the same home price and rent. Test the shortest realistic stay, your baseline plan, and a longer stay before treating the result as useful evidence.
This version is designed for U.S. dollars and a simplified fixed-rate mortgage model. For tax concepts, review the IRS Publication 936 and consult a qualified professional for your situation. The calculator does not collect your values or provide financial, tax, mortgage, or legal advice.